格雷厄姆·艾利森查看源代码讨论查看历史

小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森
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小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森（英语：Graham Tillett Allison, Jr.，（1940年3月23日－）为美国哈佛约翰·F·甘迺迪政府学院教授、首任院长，政治与国际关系理论家，提出修昔底德陷阱 (英语：Thucydides's Trap) 一词。曾担任美国总统隆纳·雷根国防特别顾问，之后于美国总统比尔·柯林顿任内担任国防计画助理部长。

论述

其2010年后提出的词汇“修昔底德陷阱”广为世界所知，指一个新崛起的大国必然要挑战现存大国，而现存大国也必然来回应这种威胁，这样战争变得不可避免。这一概念来自修昔底德（《伯罗奔尼撒战争史》的作者）的名言：“伯罗奔尼撒战争的无可避免，肇因于斯巴达对雅典崛起的恐惧。”他认为中美关系可能正在面对这一阶段。

著作

• 1969: "Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis". American Political Science Review. 63(3): 689-718.
• 1971: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Little, Brown.
• 1972: "Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy Implications." World Politics. 24:40-79 (with Morton H. Halperin).
• 1976: Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection. Basic Books (with Peter Szanton).
• 1983: Sharing International Responsibility Among the Trilateral Countries. Trilateral Commission (with Nobuhiko Ushiba and Thierry de Montbrial).
• 1985: Hawks, Doves and Owls: An Agenda for Avoiding Nuclear War. W.W. Norton. (edited with Albert Carnesale and Joseph Nye Jr).
• 1989: Windows of Opportunity: From Cold War to Peaceful Competition. Ballinger (edited with William Ury).
• 1992: Rethinking America's Security: Beyond Cold War to New World Order. W.W. Norton (edited with Gregory Treverton).
• 1996: Avoiding Nuclear Anarchy: Containing the Threat of Loose Russian Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Material. MIT Press.
• 2004: Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe. Henry Holt.
• 2013: Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World. MIT Press (with Robert D. Blackwill, Ali Wyne, and a foreword by Henry A. Kissinger).
• 2017: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.

参见

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