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小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森

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小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森英语:Graham Tillett Allison, Jr.,(1940年3月23日)為美國哈佛約翰·F·甘迺迪政府學院教授、首任院長,政治與國際關係理論家,提出修昔底德陷阱 (英语:Thucydides's Trap) 一詞。[1][2]曾擔任美國總統隆納·雷根國防特別顧問,之後於美國總統比爾·柯林頓任內擔任國防計畫助理部長[3]

論述

其2010年後提出的詞彙「修昔底德陷阱」廣為世界所知,指一个新崛起的大国必然要挑战现存大国,而现存大国也必然来回应这种威胁,这样战争变得不可避免。这一概念来自修昔底德(《伯羅奔尼撒戰爭史》的作者)的名言:“伯羅奔尼撒戰爭的無可避免,肇因於斯巴達雅典崛起的恐懼。”[4]他認為中美關係可能正在面對這一階段。

著作

  • 1969: "Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis". American Political Science Review. 63(3): 689-718.
  • 1971: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Little, Brown.
  • 1972: "Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy Implications." World Politics. 24:40-79 (with Morton H. Halperin).
  • 1976: Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection. Basic Books (with Peter Szanton).
  • 1983: Sharing International Responsibility Among the Trilateral Countries. Trilateral Commission (with Nobuhiko Ushiba and Thierry de Montbrial).
  • 1985: Hawks, Doves and Owls: An Agenda for Avoiding Nuclear War. W.W. Norton. (edited with Albert Carnesale and Joseph Nye Jr).
  • 1989: Windows of Opportunity: From Cold War to Peaceful Competition. Ballinger (edited with William Ury).
  • 1992: Rethinking America's Security: Beyond Cold War to New World Order. W.W. Norton (edited with Gregory Treverton).
  • 1996: Avoiding Nuclear Anarchy: Containing the Threat of Loose Russian Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Material. MIT Press.
  • 2004: Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe. Henry Holt.
  • 2013: Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World. MIT Press (with Robert D. Blackwill, Ali Wyne, and a foreword by Henry A. Kissinger).
  • 2017: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.

参见

参考文献

  1. 修昔底德陷阱到底是什麼意思?,kknews,2018-11-13 原文網址:https://kknews.cc/history/q6van6b.html
  2. Graham Allison .HuffPo. [2017-07-16]. (原始内容存档于2017-07-27). 
  3. Graham Allison. HARVARD Kennedy School. [2019-03-27]. (原始内容存档于2019-10-26) (英语). 
  4. Ben Schott. The Thucydides Trap. New York Times. 2011-01-31 [2015-10-03]. (原始内容存档于2019-09-30) (英语).