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格雷厄姆·艾利森

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'''小格雷厄姆·蒂利特·艾利森'''({{lang-en|'''Graham Tillett Allison, Jr.'''}},{{BD|1940年|3月23日|||}}為美國哈佛[[約翰·F·甘迺迪政府學院]]教授、首任院長,政治與國際關係理論家,提出[[修昔底德陷阱]] ({{lang-en|Thucydides's Trap}}) 一詞。<ref>{{Cite web |url=http://www.huffingtonpost.com/author/graham-allison |title=Graham Allison .HuffPo |accessdate=2017-07-16 |archive-date=2017-07-27 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20170727005331/http://www.huffingtonpost.com/author/graham-allison |dead-url=no }}</ref>曾擔任[[美國總統]][[隆納·雷根]]國防特別顧問,之後於美國總統[[比爾·柯林頓]]任內擔任國防計畫助理部長<ref name = "Graham Allison_2019">{{cite web | title = Graham Allison | url = https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/graham-allison | publisher = HARVARD Kennedy School | language = en | accessdate = 2019-03-27 | archive-date = 2019-10-26 | archive-url = https://web.archive.org/web/20191026013459/https://www.hks.harvard.edu/faculty/graham-allison | dead-url = no }}</ref>。

==論述==
其2010年後提出的詞彙「修昔底德陷阱」廣為世界所知,指一个新崛起的大国必然要挑战现存大国,而现存大国也必然来回应这种威胁,这样战争变得不可避免。这一概念来自[[修昔底德]](《伯羅奔尼撒戰爭史》的作者)的名言:“[[伯羅奔尼撒戰爭]]的無可避免,肇因於[[斯巴達]]對[[雅典]]崛起的恐懼。”<ref>{{cite news |author=Ben Schott |coauthors= |title=The Thucydides Trap |url=http://schott.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/31/the-thucydides-trap/ |quote= |newspaper=[[New York Times]] |date=2011-01-31 |accessdate=2015-10-03 |language=en |archive-date=2019-09-30 |archive-url=https://web.archive.org/web/20190930155225/https://schott.blogs.nytimes.com/2011/01/31/the-thucydides-trap/ |dead-url=no }}</ref>他認為[[中美關係]]可能正在面對這一階段。

==著作==
*1969: "Conceptual Models and the Cuban Missile Crisis". American Political Science Review. 63(3): 689-718.
*1971: Essence of Decision: Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Little, Brown.
*1972: "Bureaucratic Politics: A Paradigm and Some Policy Implications." World Politics. 24:40-79 (with Morton H. Halperin).
*1976: Remaking Foreign Policy: The Organizational Connection. Basic Books (with Peter Szanton).
*1983: Sharing International Responsibility Among the Trilateral Countries. Trilateral Commission (with Nobuhiko Ushiba and Thierry de Montbrial).
*1985: Hawks, Doves and Owls: An Agenda for Avoiding Nuclear War. W.W. Norton. (edited with Albert Carnesale and Joseph Nye Jr).
*1989: Windows of Opportunity: From Cold War to Peaceful Competition. Ballinger (edited with William Ury).
*1992: Rethinking America's Security: Beyond Cold War to New World Order. W.W. Norton (edited with Gregory Treverton).
*1996: Avoiding Nuclear Anarchy: Containing the Threat of Loose Russian Nuclear Weapons and Fissile Material. MIT Press.
*2004: Nuclear Terrorism: The Ultimate Preventable Catastrophe. Henry Holt.
*2013: Lee Kuan Yew: The Grand Master's Insights on China, the United States, and the World. MIT Press (with Robert D. Blackwill, Ali Wyne, and a foreword by Henry A. Kissinger).
*2017: Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydides's Trap?. Houghton Mifflin Harcourt.

==参见==
*[[安全困境]]

==参考文献==
{{reflist}}
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