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郭彦
北京师范大学地理科学学部

郭彦,女,北京师范大学地理科学学部副教授。

人物简历

教育经历

2002年9月—2006年6月 南京气象学院 学士

2006年9月—2011年6月 中国科学院大气物理研究所 博士

工作经历

2011年8月至今 北京师范大学地表过程与资源生态国家重点实验室 ==研究方向 气候预测

气候变化归因

极端气候

科研项目

参与国家重点研发计划项目课题:未来气候极端事件多尺度模拟与危险性评估(骨干) (2020.11-2025.10)

主持自然科学基金面上项目:统计-动力多模式集成的江淮流域夏季降水延伸期预报研究 (2020-2023)

主持国家重点研发计划项目子课题:气候变化情景下中国极端气候事件预估(2019-2021)

主持地表实验室室内项目:近50年全球陆地季风降水年代际变化的归因研究(2017-2019)

参与海洋局“全球变化与海气相互作用”专项:太平洋-印度洋与亚洲季风的相互作用(骨干)(2017-2020)

主持自然科学青年基金:滑动基底的多尺度预测方法研究及其在长江中下游夏季降水预测中的应用(2014-2016)

学术成果

著作论文

Yan Guo*, Buwen Dong, Jiangshan Zhu, Anthropogenic impacts on changes in summer extreme precipitation over China during 1961-2014: roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols, Climate Dynamics, 2022,

Neng Luo, Yan Guo*, Jieming Chou, et al., Added value of CMIP6 models over CMIP5 models in simulating the climatological precipitation extremes in China, International Journal of Climatology, 2022, 42,1148~1164.

Neng Luo, Yan Guo*, Impact of Model Resolution on the simulation of Precipitation Extremes over China, Sustainability, 2022, 14, 25.

Zhibo Gao, Jiangshan Zhu*, Yan Guo*, et al., Impact of Land Surface Processes on a Record-Breaking Rainfall Event on May 06-07, 2017 in Guangzhou, China, JGR-Atmospheres, 2021,126(5), e2020JD032997.

Zhibo Gao, Jiangshan Zhu*, Yan Guo, et al., Comparison of different land-surface perturbation methods in short-range ensemble forecasts, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2021,14(3),100045.

Neng Luo, Yan Guo, Zhibo Gao, et al., Assessment of CMIP6 and CMIP5 model performance for extreme temperature in China, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters, 2020, 13(6): 589~597

Zheng Lu, Yan Guo*, Jiangshan Zhu, Ning Kang, Seasonal Forecast of Early Summer Rainfall at Stations in South China Using a Statistical Downscaling Model, Weather and Forecasting, 2020, 35:1633~1643

Yan Guo*, Huiwen Nie, Summertime daily precipitation statistics over East China in CFSv2, Physics and Chemistry of the Earth, 2020, 115, 102841.

Huiwen Nie, Yan Guo*, An evaluation of East Asian summer monsoon forecast with the North American Multimodel Ensemble hindcast data, International Journal of Climatology, 2019, 39:4838~4852

Yanfang Zhang, Yan Guo*, Wenjie Dong, Chunxiang Li, What drives the decadal variation of global landmonsoon precipitation over the past 50 years? International Journal of Climatology, 2018, 38:4818~4829

Yan Guo, Jianping Li*, Jiangshan Zhu, A moving updated prediction model for summer rainfall in the middle-lower reaches of the Yangtze River Valley, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2017, 56:2275~2287

Yan Guo*, Zongci Zhao, Wenjie Dong, Two dominant modes of winter temperature variations over China and their relationships with large-scale circulations in CMIP5 models, Theoretical and Applied Climatology, 2016, 124: 579~592

Di Tian, Yan Guo*, Wenjie Dong, Future Changes and Uncertainties in Temperature and Precipitation over China Based on CMIP5 Models, Advances in Atmospheric Sciences, 2015, 32: 487~496

Yan Guo, Jianping Li*, Yun Li, Seasonal Forecasting of North China Summer Rainfall Using a Statistical Downscaling Model, Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 2014, 53:1739~1749

Yan Guo, Jianping Li*, Yun Li, A Time-Scale Decomposition Approach to Statistically Downscale Summer Rainfall over North China, Journal of Climate, 2012, 25:572~591[1]

参考资料